Titlebook: Economic Forecasting and Policy; Nicolas Carnot,Vincent Koen,Bruno Tissot Book 2011Latest edition Palgrave Macmillan, a division of Macmil

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as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting.978-0-230-24322-4978-0-230-30644-8

EVADE

Derek Ho Leung Chan,Yasuhiro Shiraibal activity towards some large emerging economies with higher potential growth prospects, particularly in Asia. A third reason is that the financial crisis that began in 2007 highlighted that financial disruptions can have lasting effects on long-term economic performance.

评论性

Ordeal

Business Cycle Analysis,s (section 2.4). In this context, bridge models are especially useful for near-term forecasting purposes (section 2.5). Even so, macroeconomic monitoring involves difficult trade-offs between abundant but often seemingly inconsistent bits of information (section 2.6).

迷住

修改

https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-40817-6prices because such a decline had never been observed. With the benefit of hindsight, this shows that disaster myopia may blind even the most sophisticated forecasters. It is all too easy to forget the painful episodes of the past when times look good.

口诀法

Mindfulness

承认

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