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Titlebook: Digressions in Elementary Probability; The Unexpected in Me Edward Beltrami Book 2024 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), unde

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发表于 2025-3-21 16:21:47 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
书目名称Digressions in Elementary Probability
副标题The Unexpected in Me
编辑Edward Beltrami
视频videohttp://file.papertrans.cn/285/284774/284774.mp4
概述Entertaining and informative topics of interest to social scientists.Insights into medicine and unexpected outcomes in sports and in voting, among other topics.Provides guidance to increase insight in
丛书名称Quantitative Methods in the Humanities and Social Sciences
图书封面Titlebook: Digressions in Elementary Probability; The Unexpected in Me Edward Beltrami Book 2024 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), unde
描述.This book is about the interplay between chance and order, but limited to mostly binary events, such as success/failure as they occur in a diversity of interesting applications. The goal is to entertain and instruct with topics that range from unexpected encounters with chance in everyday experiences, to significant “must know” insights regarding human health and other concerns in the social sciences...The first section provides the tools for being able to discuss random sequences with hints at what is to follow. This is followed by another surprising and, to some extent, bizarre result known as Stein’s Paradox, which is applied to baseball...The troublesome topic of disease clusters, namely to decide whether the clumping of events is due to chance or some environmental cause, is treated using both the Poisson and normal approximations to the binomial distribution and this leads naturally into a discussion of the base rate fallacy and a case study of hospital performance. Next, another medical case study this time concerning some tricky questions about the effectiveness of colonoscopy and other medical interventions. A brief discussion of the mathematics of clinical trials, follow
出版日期Book 2024
关键词Chance; Probability applications; Uncertainty in medicine and sports; Statistics in society; Poisson dis
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-70051-4
isbn_softcover978-3-031-70053-8
isbn_ebook978-3-031-70051-4Series ISSN 2199-0956 Series E-ISSN 2199-0964
issn_series 2199-0956
copyrightThe Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerl
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发表于 2025-3-21 21:37:21 | 显示全部楼层
978-3-031-70053-8The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerl
发表于 2025-3-22 02:06:37 | 显示全部楼层
Edward BeltramiEntertaining and informative topics of interest to social scientists.Insights into medicine and unexpected outcomes in sports and in voting, among other topics.Provides guidance to increase insight in
发表于 2025-3-22 06:58:36 | 显示全部楼层
Quantitative Methods in the Humanities and Social Scienceshttp://image.papertrans.cn/e/image/284774.jpg
发表于 2025-3-22 11:07:49 | 显示全部楼层
The Remarkable Streak of Joe Di Maggio,athematician Simeon-Denis Poisson. In later chapters we treat Poisson processes more generally but our primary interest here is the role of the Poisson as an approximation to the Binomial distribution.
发表于 2025-3-22 15:08:56 | 显示全部楼层
More Fallacies,on. The first is known as . which has already come up in our previous discussion of “hot hands” in basketball (see, in this connection, reference [16]). Simpson, by the way, is the same Simpson that makes an appearance later when we discuss code-breaking at Bletchley Park during the Second World War.
发表于 2025-3-22 20:45:46 | 显示全部楼层
Digressions in Elementary Probability978-3-031-70051-4Series ISSN 2199-0956 Series E-ISSN 2199-0964
发表于 2025-3-22 23:31:20 | 显示全部楼层
发表于 2025-3-23 02:48:04 | 显示全部楼层
on. The first is known as . which has already come up in our previous discussion of “hot hands” in basketball (see, in this connection, reference [16]). Simpson, by the way, is the same Simpson that makes an appearance later when we discuss code-breaking at Bletchley Park during the Second World War.
发表于 2025-3-23 07:09:41 | 显示全部楼层
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-65074-2athematician Simeon-Denis Poisson. In later chapters we treat Poisson processes more generally but our primary interest here is the role of the Poisson as an approximation to the Binomial distribution.
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