书目名称 | Digressions in Elementary Probability |
副标题 | The Unexpected in Me |
编辑 | Edward Beltrami |
视频video | http://file.papertrans.cn/285/284774/284774.mp4 |
概述 | Entertaining and informative topics of interest to social scientists.Insights into medicine and unexpected outcomes in sports and in voting, among other topics.Provides guidance to increase insight in |
丛书名称 | Quantitative Methods in the Humanities and Social Sciences |
图书封面 |  |
描述 | .This book is about the interplay between chance and order, but limited to mostly binary events, such as success/failure as they occur in a diversity of interesting applications. The goal is to entertain and instruct with topics that range from unexpected encounters with chance in everyday experiences, to significant “must know” insights regarding human health and other concerns in the social sciences...The first section provides the tools for being able to discuss random sequences with hints at what is to follow. This is followed by another surprising and, to some extent, bizarre result known as Stein’s Paradox, which is applied to baseball...The troublesome topic of disease clusters, namely to decide whether the clumping of events is due to chance or some environmental cause, is treated using both the Poisson and normal approximations to the binomial distribution and this leads naturally into a discussion of the base rate fallacy and a case study of hospital performance. Next, another medical case study this time concerning some tricky questions about the effectiveness of colonoscopy and other medical interventions. A brief discussion of the mathematics of clinical trials, follow |
出版日期 | Book 2024 |
关键词 | Chance; Probability applications; Uncertainty in medicine and sports; Statistics in society; Poisson dis |
版次 | 1 |
doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-70051-4 |
isbn_softcover | 978-3-031-70053-8 |
isbn_ebook | 978-3-031-70051-4Series ISSN 2199-0956 Series E-ISSN 2199-0964 |
issn_series | 2199-0956 |
copyright | The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerl |