优雅 发表于 2025-3-28 15:44:52
Scenarios and Decision Analysis,d this be accomplished—especially when the organization has several objectives that it wishes to achieve? We then provide an introduction to a numerical analysis of the actions of powerful—and less-powerful—stakeholders as they react to particular scenarios in order to secure their own objectives agcommune 发表于 2025-3-28 18:59:06
The Backwards Logic Method of Constructing Extreme Scenarios and Considering Local Agency in Branchs. Recall that the steps include brainstorming the generation of critical uncertainties and predetermined driving forces that will have varying degrees of impact on the focal issue—often the viability of the focal organization. Recall, also, that the two scenario dimensions are selected from those c流行 发表于 2025-3-29 00:35:39
http://reply.papertrans.cn/87/8613/861237/861237_43.pngEvolve 发表于 2025-3-29 06:00:14
http://reply.papertrans.cn/87/8613/861237/861237_44.png女歌星 发表于 2025-3-29 07:48:14
Diagnosing Organizational Receptiveness,thodology is chosen and then applied in a straightforward way to engage an organization’s key decision makers in thinking deeply about the future. In reality, organizational life is more complex and a scenario-based intervention that seems, on the face of it, to be uncontroversial and straightforwarcountenance 发表于 2025-3-29 12:23:10
Documenting Lessons Learned from Case Study Projects,al decades. Our focus is not on giving the full detail of individual projects or complete narratives of particular scenarios, but on illustrating important aspects of the scenario development process and, also, the pitfalls and problems that can occur in practice—complete with guidelines for how to能得到 发表于 2025-3-29 17:31:41
http://reply.papertrans.cn/87/8613/861237/861237_47.png确定方向 发表于 2025-3-29 22:30:37
http://reply.papertrans.cn/87/8613/861237/861237_48.png运气 发表于 2025-3-30 00:57:27
Advanced Methods in Scenario Development: Uncovering Causality and Using the Delphi Method,sis within the workshop based scenario development process is, simply, on identifying ‘cause’. However, cause, in practice, is left undefined and, as such, workshop participants often use the proffered ‘arrows of influence’ in an unsophisticated, simplistic way, i.e., loosely and without specific direction by the workshop facilitator.