fallacy 发表于 2025-3-21 16:25:39

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解开 发表于 2025-3-21 22:20:48

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Admire 发表于 2025-3-22 02:15:25

SpringerBriefs in Philosophyhttp://image.papertrans.cn/r/image/830725.jpg

粗语 发表于 2025-3-22 04:39:20

https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-78502-4Mathematics of Risk; Philosophy of Risk; Risk Assessment and management; Uncertainty of Risk; Rational C

结构 发表于 2025-3-22 10:22:11

Chance and Likelihood,Our dealings with reality often face forks in the road, branching points where—for ought one can tell—matters can eventuate one way or another. Will it rain or not? Will the dam hold? Will Smith’s preferred horse win the race? Will John propose to Mary? Throughout our concerns such questions about alternatives abound.

无可非议 发表于 2025-3-22 15:46:54

Uncertainty,Uncertainty is the bane of risk management. And in the prevailing conditions of this world there is unfortunately no escaping it. The prospect of unforeseeable catastrophe—natural disasters, wars, pandemics, market panics, technological disasters—is beyond our control, and only so little can effectively be done to cushion their impact.

craven 发表于 2025-3-22 17:22:29

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去才蔑视 发表于 2025-3-22 23:26:37

Managing Risk and Uncertainty,Let it be that $300 is be distributed in a box having with three compartments (A, B, C). First you get to choose one of four distributions. And then you get a blind choice of one compartment, whose contents you will then receive. Which distribution would you choose?

DRAFT 发表于 2025-3-23 04:24:31

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bypass 发表于 2025-3-23 06:08:24

Abnormal Situations and Eccentric Measurements,cceptable and others as altogether unrealistic. And to fit our assessment into the range of afforded by the standard machinery of risk calculation, two eccentric quantities must accordingly be introduced, catastrophic (−∞) outcome yields and virtually zero (∈) probabilities. Let us consider this more closely.
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查看完整版本: Titlebook: Risk Theory; Rational Decision in Nicholas Rescher Book 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2022