哄骗
发表于 2025-4-1 02:37:02
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本能
发表于 2025-4-1 09:32:19
Are People Programmed to Commit Fallacies? Further Thoughts About the Interpretation of Experimentanto how statistically untutored subjects actually judge probabilities. For the most part the investigator tacitly assumes that the problem-task set to his or her subjects is correctly soluble only in terms of some academically well-regarded conception of probabilities that he or she has in mind. The
是剥皮
发表于 2025-4-1 13:08:28
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Mitigate
发表于 2025-4-1 14:29:06
Some Historical Remarks on the Baconian Conception of Probability,important mistake, though such mistakes are rare in Hacking’s fascinating book. In fact Bacon, and later writers influenced by him, were very much concerned with probabilities, though not with probabilities structured in accordance with the mathematical calculus of chance. I shall call the latter “P