发出眩目光芒 发表于 2025-3-23 11:52:01
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Expert Judgement for Geological Hazards in New Zealandrming decision-making. The problems are complex and usually require input from experts from different sub-disciplines. Expert judgement, like all human cognitive processes, is prone to biases. Therefore, we aim to use methods that are robust, transparent, reproducible and help reduce biases. The Cla无价值 发表于 2025-3-23 18:07:49
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Growth, Distribution and Political Changeta is unavailable for certain regions of the probability space. Such methods are now widely developed, well understood, and have been used to model systems in a variety of domains including climate change, food insecurity, and nuclear risk assessment Barons et al. (.), Rougier and Crucifix (.), Hanecondescend 发表于 2025-3-24 18:26:12
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http://reply.papertrans.cn/32/3192/319147/319147_19.pngobstruct 发表于 2025-3-25 01:13:08
The Omega Society: A Dynamic Modelast the actions of competitors based on expert knowledge. This is relevant in areas such as cybersecurity, security, defence and business competition. As a consequence, we present a structured approach to facilitate the elicitation of probabilities over the actions of other intelligent agents by dec