MELON 发表于 2025-3-25 04:02:36
http://reply.papertrans.cn/31/3015/301438/301438_21.pnginsidious 发表于 2025-3-25 10:58:09
Summary and conclusions,ntation/testing of economic theories. We assess four methods of EBCR: business cycle indicators (BCI), simultaneous equations models (SEM), vector autoregressive systems (VAR) and real business cycle (RBC) models. The first three EBCR methods are illustrated for the economy of the Netherlands.口诀 发表于 2025-3-25 11:45:05
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http://reply.papertrans.cn/31/3015/301438/301438_24.pngHyaluronic-Acid 发表于 2025-3-25 19:59:55
Marta S. Contigiani,Luis A. Diazntation/testing of economic theories. We assess four methods of EBCR: business cycle indicators (BCI), simultaneous equations models (SEM), vector autoregressive systems (VAR) and real business cycle (RBC) models. The first three EBCR methods are illustrated for the economy of the Netherlands.ANNUL 发表于 2025-3-26 04:02:38
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Marek Szpalski,Robert Gunzburg,Michael Mayerlysis leading indicators and the Netherlands’ central bank (DNB) business cycle indicator. Similarities are striking. Differences occur in the choice of the reference series, the trend filter and the irregular component filter.广告 发表于 2025-3-26 10:36:15
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Assessment,. Subsequently, the methods are presented in a formal manner to clarify how they capture business cycles. After that, the methods are judged against our other criteria of assessment: forecasting, policy evaluation, and the role of theory.LAVA 发表于 2025-3-26 19:31:06
The CCSO composite leading indicator, a BCI of the Netherlands, able to track the past twenty years and produces credible forecasts. We compare our indicator with the CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis leading indicators and the Netherlands’ central bank (DNB) business cycle indicator. Similarities are striking. Differences occur in the choice