adjacent 发表于 2025-3-23 12:56:12
some starting point. Wherever possible, we have also attempted to point to the motivations which en gendered the various syntheses. The somewhat irrational reason which propelled us into this endeavor was the ques tioning of Charlie Morgan who often asked if one or another obscure compound had bee肉体 发表于 2025-3-23 16:54:56
Trevor B. Poole B.Sc., Ph. Dglobal oil prices. (ii) Forecast accuracy of the extended model that includes stock market information and global oil prices is somewhat better than Dua and Ranjan (., .) model, especially at the longer end. (iii) Bayesian vector autoregressive models generally outperform their corresponding VAR varCLAY 发表于 2025-3-23 21:54:17
Trevor B. Poole B.Sc., Ph. D Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). Based on the growth rate of the coincident index obtained from ECRI, we infer the sequencing of growth rate cycles in one country vis-à-vis the other in terms of the relative timing of their peaks and troughs. This comparative analysis across the time and f提炼 发表于 2025-3-23 22:51:28
Trevor B. Poole B.Sc., Ph. Da is explained by exchange rate factor, followed by Minimum Support Price inflation and then by inflation expectations, whereas maximum variation in CPI inflation is explained by expected inflation followed by monetary and credit factor, fiscal factor and finally by output factor. The forecasting ex施加 发表于 2025-3-24 06:22:54
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Trevor B. Poole B.Sc., Ph. D FRB/GLOBAL by FED, quarterly GEM and NIGEM by NIESR, OEF by Oxford Econ. Forec., annual PRIAMO by PROMETEIA and quarterly MC model by R.C. Fair..All the above models are being used in forecasting the world economy and policy simulations including the impact of the world economy on domestic developm高度赞扬 发表于 2025-3-24 13:31:36
Trevor B. Poole B.Sc., Ph. Dannual models for Czechoslovakia and Poland, being mostly demand determined. In the second half of the 90s many countries in the regions developed their quarterly macroeconometric models. They were models for Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, Russian Federation, SlovakiOutmoded 发表于 2025-3-24 17:57:35
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