CUR
发表于 2025-3-25 06:58:21
Dynamic Rationality: Propensity, Probability, and Credencerdinarily difficult time trying to figure out what kind of thing — or things — probability is. I shall argue that causality is a key piece in the puzzle, and consequently, an indispensable aspect of rationality.
insurrection
发表于 2025-3-25 09:06:23
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Diluge
发表于 2025-3-25 14:13:10
Probability, Possibility, and Plenitudenrealized. Another traditional idea is the claim that probability is degree of possibility. This equation is by no means unproblematic, since probability and possibility can be interpreted in a variety of ways. Still, it suggests that it is interesting to study what consequences alternative theories
Dysarthria
发表于 2025-3-25 16:11:50
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休息
发表于 2025-3-25 20:06:10
Probabilistic Theories of Causation technical. But the neglect is unfortunate. The basic idea is quite simple, and very attractive. Moreover, competing theories all have serious problems that have been discussed .. This paper is a critical exploration of the two main types of probabilistic theory, represented by Suppes (1970) and Car
GRACE
发表于 2025-3-26 02:30:52
Conditional Chanceon to give a theory of chance. Ordinary and scientific discourse is full of chance talk, and if its function is not to be given straightforward naive analysis in terms of reference to real chances, then a more sophisticated analysis is in order. Subjective Bayesians have a pragmatic story to tell wh
异教徒
发表于 2025-3-26 08:12:43
How to Tell a Common Cause: Generalizations of the Conjunctive Fork Criterionbach’s statistical characterization of common causes in terms of conjunctive forks: common causes screen off joint effects from each other — that is, given the common cause, the correlation between joint effects that have no direct causal influence on each other will disappear. But in his recent wor
agitate
发表于 2025-3-26 08:46:45
Probabilistic Causal Interaction and Disjunctive Causal Factors other causes of the effect in question in order to avoid being misled by “spurious correlations”, which arise in cases of “Simpson’s paradox”. But, even when we control for other causes, it is possible for a causal factor to raise the probability of a second factor in some situations and lower that
Enzyme
发表于 2025-3-26 14:24:27
How to Probabilize a Newcomb Problemreek, “dogma”) and disbelief. Probabilism is a relatively recent view, urged in the mid-17th century, that judgment isn’t or shouldn’t generally be a matter of believing but of — what to call it? — probabilizing. Will it rain today? I don’t know; I’m not in a position to assert or deny it. But still
floaters
发表于 2025-3-26 17:57:24
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