巡洋 发表于 2025-3-21 17:48:40
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Usefulness of Linear Transformations in Multivariate Time-Series Analysisseries. The topics considered include vector ARMA models, principal component analysis, scalar component models, canonical correlation analyses, co-integration, and unit-root tests. We illustrate the methods considered by an example using Taiwan’s interest-rate series and provide critiques of these developments.手段 发表于 2025-3-22 05:50:02
Seasonal Cointegration, Common Seasonals, and Forecasting Seasonal Seriesvaluation of the predictive value of accounting for seasonal cointegration shows that seasonal cointegration may be difficult to exploit to improve predictive accuracy even in cases where seasonal non-cointegration is clearly rejected on statistical grounds. The findings from the real-world examples are corroborated by Monte Carlo simulation.Corral 发表于 2025-3-22 11:23:53
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New Developments in Time Series Econometrics: An Overviewnot be made independent and optimal experimental designs are not available, modeling and inference often require an exceptional degree of sophistication. Fortunately, in recent years, statistical methods for the analysis of time series have developed considerably and several remarkable innovations have been introduced.Thyroxine 发表于 2025-3-22 23:38:11
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On the (Mis)Specification of Seasonality and its Consequences: An Empirical Investigation with US Daerties of the adjusted series. We also investigate which procedures are most appropriate given the properties of the data. Overall, we find very significant differences and evidence that several U.S. macroeconomic time series contain a mixture of deterministic and stochastic seasonal components.Fibrinogen 发表于 2025-3-23 06:53:00
A Note on Johansen’s Cointegration Procedure when Trends are Present Johansen’s method by including a vector of deterministic linear trends in the estimated model. We present tabulated critical values of the maximal eigenvalue and trace statistics appropriate for this case. We discuss the circumstances under which our modification may be useful.