ticlopidine
发表于 2025-4-1 02:52:41
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set598
发表于 2025-4-1 06:48:25
Clues: Temporal Ordering of Components of GDPe measures..A sensible first place to look for the cycle drivers are the investment components of GDP: inventories, business spending on equipment and software, business spending on structures (office buildings and factories), consumer spending on durables, and consumer spending on new homes and hom
显而易见
发表于 2025-4-1 12:26:36
More Clues: Episodic Forecasting with Components of Conference Board’s Index of Leading Indicators. That is the order of declines going into recessions and the order of the recovery as well; Usually, but not always. The recession of 1953 was different, and so was 2001..The components of GDP are not the only place to look. There is a vast set of additional variables that might be studied for addi
glowing
发表于 2025-4-1 18:18:42
The Art of Drawing Causal Inferences from Nonexperimental Datacially began. In chap. 13, we learned that an “inverted” yield curve and a drop in weekly hours in manufacturing often preceded recessions. Before discussing those important findings we issued the warning not to jump to causal interpretations merely from those temporal orderings. Movements in these
勾引
发表于 2025-4-1 21:23:15
In Search of Recession Causese three ingredients and cook up some conclusions about the causes of recessions. This is not going to be easy. We are entering a land ruled by Uncertainty and Ambiguity. If you expect to be comfortable here, you will need Faith.
天文台
发表于 2025-4-1 22:52:25
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制定法律
发表于 2025-4-2 06:09:37
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foppish
发表于 2025-4-2 09:49:37
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