发现
发表于 2025-3-25 04:52:42
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禁令
发表于 2025-3-25 11:28:35
New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing,anderson and Scherbov 2019). Population ageing can be measured in different ways. An example of this can found in the UN’s .. One way is to report on the forecasted increase in the number of people 60+ years old in the world.
COUCH
发表于 2025-3-25 12:07:40
1877-2560 and codes available for selected chapters.This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation ar
倔强不能
发表于 2025-3-25 18:13:22
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employor
发表于 2025-3-25 23:17:23
Coherent Mortality Forecasting with Standards: Low Mortality Serves as a Guide,erall accuracy or performance of mortality forecasting has improved since Lee and Carter (1992) introduced stochastic forecasting of mortality to the demographic community, and further improvements can undoubtedly be made.
名义上
发表于 2025-3-26 01:10:09
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absolve
发表于 2025-3-26 04:59:15
Handbook of Clinical Nutrition and Agingbe useful for projection makers looking to adopt a formal approach to eliciting expert judgments, or for producing probabilistic projections, where it is necessary to obtain plausible estimates of uncertainty for components of population growth.
知识分子
发表于 2025-3-26 11:44:54
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Insufficient
发表于 2025-3-26 13:15:32
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MURKY
发表于 2025-3-26 19:07:21
Introduction,olume. We discuss deterministic and probabilistic approaches to forecast uncertainty, Bayesian and frequentist perspectives, the role of experts compared to purely data driven methods, and ways to communicate forecast results to the users.