里程表 发表于 2025-3-21 19:04:11
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Illustrating the Methodology: The Case of Germanycomputed, given by where . denotes the sample mean. This function measures the degree of the linear relationship between two observations in the same series. High values of the autocovariance function at lag r indicate that the series exhibits cyclical structure with a cycle length of about r unitsNuance 发表于 2025-3-22 04:14:13
Spectral Analysisty. Since the publication of the influential book by Box and Jenkins (1970), the time-domain approach is prevailing in the description of business cycle stylized facts. Looking at modern papers in this research field, the application of spectral analysis methods is rather the exception than the ruleconvert 发表于 2025-3-22 05:38:39
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Book 1997tional business cycle theory. The changing characteristics of the business cycle are analyzed by comparing the cyclical structure for the postwar and the prewar period. The results show that business cycle is mainly due to investment fluctuations.CESS 发表于 2025-3-22 19:58:09
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1431-1933estimation) novel in the analysis of economic time series is described and utilized. The method turns out to be superior to widely used time domain methods and the "classical" spectral estimate, the periodogram. The results for eleven OECD countries confirm and extend the basic set of stylized fact落叶剂 发表于 2025-3-23 05:04:46
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-72288-7of the fluctuations; and (2) the degree of comovement with a measure for the output, together with the phase shift of the series relative to the output cycle. Lucas (1977), p. 218 summarizes the commonly accepted view concerning these aspects:笨拙的你 发表于 2025-3-23 09:18:33
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