小卒
发表于 2025-3-26 23:02:48
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prolate
发表于 2025-3-27 02:20:49
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-322-84572-6e than probable/likely. Intuitively, even obviously, some claims are more probable/likely than others. Everyone agrees that scientific claims in particular are probable/likely to the extent that they are confirmed by experimental evidence. But there is very little agreement about what “confirmation
注意力集中
发表于 2025-3-27 07:40:18
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-322-84572-6ach have been given. In order to make the distinction between them as intuitive and precise as possible, we answer the first in a Bayesian way: a hypothesis is confirmed to the extent that the data raise the probability that it is true. We answer the second question in a Likelihoodist way, that is,
Conscientious
发表于 2025-3-27 12:10:10
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legitimate
发表于 2025-3-27 17:34:59
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踉跄
发表于 2025-3-27 18:48:16
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易怒
发表于 2025-3-27 22:42:54
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调色板
发表于 2025-3-28 02:20:48
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alcoholism
发表于 2025-3-28 09:59:11
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-96877-8ians and Glymour, but unlike us, his own account of evidence incorporates what we have called the “true-model” assumption, that there is a conceptual connection between the existence of evidence for a hypothesis and having a good reason to believe that the hypothesis is true. In this connection, and
泛滥
发表于 2025-3-28 13:11:11
Das Risiko der industriellen Unternehmungso difficult to resolve is that the assumptions that generate them are so intuitive that they resist rejection or reconfiguration. The “paradoxes of confirmation” have been especially difficult to resolve. As much is indicated by the vast literature to which they have given rise. The “raven” and “gr